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Red Herring & Black Swan

Red Herring & Black Swan: Ground Control to Ivory Tower

Academics often complain about being ignored by decision-makers. Yet people in power are neither uninterested nor uneducated. It’s the academic way of writing and …


Instead of complaining, Germany and others need to back up the European Central Bank by investing in infrastructure and technology.

Red Herring & Black Swan: Is the German Question Back?

As the transatlantic relationship frays, thereʼs renewed talk of a return to German dominance in Europe. In fact, US withdrawal could have the opposite effect, as Franceʼs military might become more important.


The EU‘s foreign and security policy needs to be backed up by shared intelligence. Eventually, the EU should have its own intelligence agency. For …


The traditional statistics on greenhouse gases don’t capture emissions related to trade, shipping, or international aviation. But that’s not the only reason they’re misleading. …

Helping companies battling US and Chinese competition, there are better ways for the EU than abandoning merger control.


In 2014, Jean-Claude Juncker became commission president because the European Parliament pushed him as Spitzenkandidat. But that flawed system may not survive the 2019 …


The question of whether Germany needs to develop its own nuclear weapon is leading nowhere. It makes more sense to think about realistic scenarios …


The United States’ military isn’t the only one with drones.

Red Herring & Black Swan: The Other Pivot to Asia

When European countries joined the Beijing-led Asia Infrastructure and Investment Bank against the White House’s wishes in 2015, they foreshadowed today‘s transatlantic trade rupture. …


There‘s much talk about the likely costs of Brexit for British companies. But European businesses would do well readying themselves for impact, too. Paris, …